Liverpool fans are in dreamland after 12 Premier League games of the season. Their team sit at the summit of the Premier League table with an eight-point lead over reigning champions Manchester City. Pep Guardiola’s side have lost their last three league games and Arsenal have looked far too inconsistent to win the league. Arne Slot’s men are in the driver’s seat to win a historic 20th top-flight English league title this season. However, with 26 games to go in the league season, a lot can happen between now and May to provide more twists and turns.
No one predicted Liverpool to win the league at the start of the season. The club were expected to take time to transition from the Jurgen Klopp era and Slot was not even handed significant funds to strengthen the squad in the summer. It was all about getting top four and building from there under the new manager.
However, Slot’s men have flipped the script of the Premier League title race. While Manchester City have uncharacteristically floundered and Arsenal have had issues with injuries and discipline, Liverpool have been a model of consistency. They have dropped just four points all season and are looking like a team that will win the league at the end of the season.
But there is still a long way to go and Slot and his players will know that they have no room for complacency as Manchester City and Arsenal will not continue to flounder and at some point, the Reds will also hit a rough patch. The season is arduous and no medals are given out in November or December.
Predicting the rest of the season is a hazardous job for any human so we have given AI the tough art of telling us whether Liverpool’s title chances are as big as they are being made out to be and what could still stop them from equalling Manchester United’s tally of 20 Premier League titles. Over to your ChatGPT!
What is ChatGPT saying about the title tilt for Liverpool?
Assessing whether a team will go on to win the Premier League depends on several factors and intangibles. A team could look good to win the league in November but could fall apart towards the end of the season due to mental exhaustion, physical tiredness, loss of form, injuries or plain bad luck. It is hard to declare title winners in November because the Premier League remains a marathon where no result can be taken for granted.
Can you name the team Liverpool sold these players to?
However, ChatGPT has outlined a few key factors that could decide Liverpool’s fate in the title race in the coming months.
Form and points lead
Liverpool have won ten of their opening 12 Premier League games and have already built a not-so-insignificant eight-point lead at the top of the league table. The margin of the lead is very significant at this stage of the season and is a good omen for winning the Premier League. Teams with such a big lead at this stage of the campaign have a strong chance of ending the season with the league title but it is not insurmountable. Bigger leads have been hunted down by the chasing pack in the Premier League era so Liverpool cannot hope to rest on their laurels.
Competitors
Manchester City have lost their last five games in all competitions, including three in the Premier League. This is the worst run of results in Pep Guardiola’s managerial career and the worst for the club in more than 16 years. They do not look like that they can buy a win at the moment but they are still the reigning Premier League champions. Manchester City have shown in previous seasons that they can hunt down teams at the top of the league with clinical precision. Arsenal have suffered in the previous two seasons and the Gunners have also struggled for consistency this term. Manchester City’s history of overcoming big leads means Liverpool cannot afford to have a poor run of form in the league.
Fixture challenges
In theory, the fixture list should not mean anything as every team play each other twice home and away throughout the season. However, it goes on to play a significant role as when and under what circumstances two teams are playing each other matters. Liverpool would feel they are set to face Manchester City next weekend at the ideal time. Guardiola’s men have lost five on the trot and a win over them would open the gap at the top of the table to eleven points. On the flip side, Manchester City are still a great team and a win at Anfield next weekend will light a fire under their title charge and cut down Liverpool’s lead to just five points. A win for the away side and suddenly the race is far closer than you think.
The Verdict
Using all the metrics and historical analysis, Liverpool have a massive chance of winning the Premier League at the end of the season. The eight-point lead is a significant factor in the calculations. Models like FiveThirtyEight or betting odds generally place teams with such a lead and current form at around a 60-70% probability of winning the league. However, this is subject to change based on results, form, transfers in the winter window and the overall health of the squad as the season progresses.
